Category Archives: Ottawa Centre

A Notable Budget

I have been really paying attention to federal budgets for nine years since I started working on Parliament Hill.  All the budgets I have been a part of have been delivered by a Justin Trudeau government from either Bill Morneau or Chrystia Freeland.  Besides the first budget in 2016, which was to be a modest deficit, the budget delivered last week was the other most notable budget.  Notable not for the content as there was no surprise factor; but rather the tone to which the Deputy Prime Minster delivered the budget the to the house.  There are three reasons for this.

First, it seemed to be a political budget, delivered for political purposes.  Let’s be honest here all the financial aspects of the budget were delivered weeks ahead of the official tabling of the budget.  Anything that was financial was delivered in the manner expected and to the desired audience.  This was a political budget; it targeted the Conservatives in every manner and deed.  The message made in a series of questions, here are a few:

What kind of country do they (the top 1%) want to live in? 

Do they want to live in a country where kids go to school hungry? 

Do they want to live in a country where we make the investments we need in health care, in housing, in old age pensions, but we lack the political will to pay for them and choose instead to pass a ballooning debt on to our children? 

Do they want to live in a country where the only young Canadians who can buy their own homes are those with parents who can help with the down payment?

Do they want to live in a country where those at the very top live lives of luxury but must do so in gated communities behind ever-higher fences using private health care and private planes because the public sphere is so degraded and the wrath of the vast majority of their less-privileged compatriots burns so hot?

If this were a call and response to every Liberal MP, the caucus would respond with a resounding “NO”.  Previous budgets from this government would have been peppered with questions where “Yes” would have been the desired response. The government has gone full negative on how they might see a different Canada, perhaps one like the America in Margaret Atwood’s Handmaids Tale.  You would not have seen this is the Liberals were in a better position to remain as the government.

Second, this is an election budget.  Promises made in Budget 2024 were made so Canadians might see the outcome what the government intends before the planned October 2025 election.  Budget 2024 needs the time of a year or so if the houses will be built.  An election budget in 2025 will have no effect on voters after nine years of stunted growth, reduced productivity, high inflation, and another increase of $19 in the carbon tax to $95/tonne.  

Lastly it is seen as a ‘cut and run’ budget that could determine the Prime Minister’s future and his plans to lead the Liberals in the next election.  It’s the last chance for Trudeau to be persuaded to leave and for the Liberals to have a leadership.  

After this budget, there are no more rabbits they can pull out of a hat to reverse the polling and thinking the Liberals will be kicked out on their carbon tax derrieres in 18 months.  It wasn’t a pretty budget; it was a budget of a bleak future if the Liberals don’t win in ’25.  The dark side of the Liberals have given us their messaging, will Canadians heed their warning?

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on X @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net.

Playing Dominos in Ottawa Centre

A little news scoop by the Kitchissippi Times Editor Charlie Senack on March 14th has created a game of political dominos in Ottawa Centre.  Senack reported that Ottawa Centre NDP MPP Joel Harden filed his papers to run as the Federal NDP candidate for Ottawa Centre in the next federal election now expected to be October 27, 2025 following the tabling of C-65 an Act to amend the Elections Act.   Here’s a link to the scoop, https://kitchissippi.com/2024/03/14/joel-harden-submits-papers-to-run-federally-for-the-ndp-in-ottawa-centre/.

Photo by Ron Lach on Pexels.com

This one little news scoop may have every party at every level in the Parliamentary Precinct riding of Ottawa Centre scrabbling; dominos are going to fall. 

Domino #1 Joel Harden does win the nomination for the federal campaign expected in 2025.  What becomes of his role in Queens Park, does Stay on as MPP until the federal election.  To date Harden has not spoken publicly about running federally, he won’t do that until the NDP accepts his papers and allows him to seek the federal NDP Nod. At that time he’ll be forced to answer why he is making the jump from Queen’s Park.  

Considering he’ll want as much time to campaign as possible, the latest he remains as MPP could be the summer of 2025.  Voters in Ottawa Centre will not support their MPP campaigning to be their MP.  One last consideration here is Harden’s future as the MPP if he does not win the Federal NDP nomination; does he walk away from Queen’s Park before the 2026 Ontario General Election?

Domino #2 We might assume there are not others interested in battling for the federal NDP nomination, but we cannot think former Somerset Ward Councillor Catherine McKenney will not throw their hat into the ring.  One very strong argument for McKenney to take the NDP nomination is the ties they had to Ed Broadbent, Ed and Catherine worked very closely together when Mr. Broadbent was the Ottawa Centre MP.  McKenney will have closer ties to the National wing of the party than Harden will.  

Domino #3 Considering Harden does win the nomination for the federal election, McKenney will be there for the provincial by-election that will come when Harden resigns his provincial seat, but McKenney will have to get the nomination first.

Domino #4 Following up on Domino #3, with Harden’s provincial seat up for grabs this will be a hard-fought nomination battle with not only Catherine McKenney, but Capital Ward Councillor Shawn Menard likely to be strongly urged to seek this nomination.  This has the potential to set up some sort of decision for the City of Ottawa if Menard succeeds provincially as the next City of Ottawa elections are not due until 2026 and the Capital Ward seat at the Council Table could be vacant.

Domino #5 Yasir Naqvi, the current MP for Ottawa Centre has faced Joel Harden before.  In 2018 Naqvi was a popular local MPP running for a party with an unpopular leader and Premier.  Joel Harden prevailed, now Harden is seeking a potential second chance at running against Naqvi as an incumbent.  In 2025, Naqvi will seek a second re-election federally in the riding. As everything sits now (in 2024) Naqvi is a popular MP running for a party with an unpopular Prime Minister.

Domino #6 The Ontario Liberal Party will have to move up their calendar for a provincial candidate.  With either McKenney or Menard on the orange sign though, the Ontario Liberals will still be going up against the Ontario Juggernaut of the NDP.  I say that because I’m not convinced Harden is as endeared to the Federal NDP membership to the same level McKenney night be.  The wildcards for the Ontario Liberals are Liberal Leader Crombie and NDP Ontario Opposition Leader Marit Stiles; The performance of these two leaders will play into the outcome of any Provincial By-Election, by that I mean whoever stumbles first or worst will affect their local candidate. The newly elected Executive of the Ottawa Centre Liberal Provincial Association should have this at the top of their “to do” list.

Dominos #7 to ?? Go to the Federal and Provincial Political Parties that need to take advantage of the shake-up that is could be taking place in Ottawa Centre.  The Ottawa Centre Conservatives have been in a search for a candidate for months, but now the potential for an Ontario by-election means the Ontario PC Party is also now looking for a candidate as will the Greens of Canada and Ontario.  

This one little scoop has caused so much consideration in one riding.  I have either run or managed a campaign for the Ontario PC’s in Ottawa Centre since 2011, the type of confusion that could be coming in the electoral district means every party has a shot at winning.

Let the dominos fall as they may.

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on X @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net.

Warning: A Liberal Political Post

One year ago on June 2nd, the Ontario Liberal Party suffered their second  devastating election loss in a row.  The Ontario Election last June saw the Liberals gain one seat for a total of eight.  This result was the second consecutive where the Ontario Liberals would not have official party status; a party needs is 10% of the total seats in Queen’s Park. Currently there are 124 seats, the 10% rule, created in 2018 would require a party to have 12 elected MPPs for official party status.

Currently the Liberals have 7 MPPs, MPP Mitzi Hunter resigned from the caucus to run in the Toronto Mayoral byelection that takes place on June  26th.    

Following the Ontario Liberal Annual General Meeting in March, the party launched their leadership and after last weekend there are three official candidates, Federal Liberal MP Nathan Erskine-Smith, Ted Hsu MPP for Kingston and the Islands and the latest is Ottawa Centre MP, Yasir Naqvi.

There are more candidates to jump in, including the expected announcement from Mississauga Mayor Bonnie Crombie, a former Ontario MPP herself. She is touring the province and recently was in Ottawa.  

UPDATE: On Wednesday June 14th, Mississauga Mayor Bonnie Crombie announced her leadership bid for the Ontario Liberal Party, Crombie was first elected Mayor of Mississauga in 2014. Prior to that she was sat as a City Coouncillor from 2011-2014. She was elected once as a Federal MP, but only served one term – she was defeated in 2011.

This leadership is unlike any we might have seen in Ontario politically, the Liberals are in a very threatening position of making Ontario a two-party province, like Alberta, if they do not select a leader that will give the party prospects of electing more MPPs to gain official party status and perhaps more.  

Today, I do not see a path for the Ontario Liberals to emulate the Federal Liberals that went from 3rd place to a majority government in 2015.  The party did take a major step at their Annual Meeting in Hamilton though by choosing to go to a one member one vote for the leadership.  

It bares reminding everyone that Steven Del Duca, remember him?  He was selected by a delegated  leadership convention.  A report on the 2022 election loss suggested  the party should have seen it (the loss to Doug Ford) coming because “they were hindered by a wildly unpopular leader, a wooly campaign platform, poor voter-identification data, inadequate candidate vetting and a lack of money and volunteers”. 

The move to “one member one vote” should help the party.  Those members have a lot on their shoulders, one more third place result – and by that the Liberals don’t challenge for the opposition and  they coiuld send the party down the path of irrelevance. 

Who are these three official candidates that hope to change the course of the party?  

Erskine-Smith has held the federal seat of Beaches-East York since 2015.  He was first out of the gate and from what I can see he has focused on this leadership.  He’s been a backbench MP since his election in 2015 and is now looking to lead the Provincial Party (sound  familiar for Ontario PC readers?).  He has a strong environmental interest, something recent Liberal leaders haven’t had.

Ted Hsu, the current MPP for Kingston and Islands, was elected as the federal Liberal MP for the Kingston and Islands in 2011 but chose not to run in 2015.  He returned to politics running provincially  in the same riding in 2022. He won the nomination over previous Liberal MPP Sophie Kiwala (who lost to the NDP in 2018).  The seat was vacant for the 2022 election as the incumbent NDP MPP decided not to run again. Hsu is currently Liberal Critic for several portfolios in Queen’s Park

The latest to jump into the water is Yasir Naqvi, the Ottawa Centre MP, and my opponent for both of my provincial elections in 2011 and 2014.  Yasir was elected federally in 2021 replacing former MP Catherine McKenna. I’ve spoken with Yasir a few times about his leadership hopes as we see each other on Parliament Hill. He was first elected as a MPP in 2007 won re-election twice  but was defeated in the 2018 Ontario election. As a MPP he held several positions, finishing as Attorney General of Ontario

The three candidates all have their strengths and challenges.  Erskine-Smith is a stranger to provincial politics, Hsu is under experienced politically and Naqvi with the longest tenure at Queen’s Park has the McGuinty-Wynne shadow lurking.  

I also see where they all have the potential to win; knowing Yasir as I do, I know his heart is in the politics of Ontario and that’s why he’s running, Hsu has provincial experience without the being attached to Kathleen Wynne and Erskine-Smith is the experienced ‘newby’ to Ontario politics and as the outsider he could be the option for party members.

One thing the three have in common, they all know the party is on a precipice and each feels they are one to bring it back from the edge of irrelevance. 

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net.

A good offence needs a better defence

The final score of the Super Bowl reminded me of the sports adage that every good offence should count on the defence to score some points, or at least set the offence up to score.

Super Bowl LVII was a battle of two great teams, but of the two teams only one had the benefit of the better defence helping the offence.  In 60 minutes of football there was one turnover in the game, the Kansas City Chiefs “D” forced a fumble and took it back for a touchdown and tied the game after the teams returned from the Rihanna half time show.

Just as in sports, politics can also be considered has having an offence and defence.  

Government naturally gets to be on the offence all the time.  The opposition parties are the defence, always attacking the government.  The Conservative Party as His Majesties Loyal Opposition gets the title as the lead of the defence.  It could be a good argument that the Liberals would be on the defence, but as the government they should always be looking to score, score points with the voters by rolling out their platform, a budget and by responding to the events of the day.  

On the defence, the Conservatives are looking for the fumble and the interception and to make a score of their own. When they can do that, the government turns to defence and the opposition now has the ball on the move.  

This has happened on a few occasions, most recently is bill C-21.  The bill was well on its way to passing through committee and to third reading in the House.  

The government was on its way to scoring, but something happened on the way to the goal line.   The government decided to score two extra points when one would have done.  While the bill was being discussed in committee in November the government introduced a motion that expanded the definition of restricted firearms and now would include firearms considered standard by hunters, farmers, and indigenous peoples.  The government  was now piling on and the opposition had a chance to force a turnover.  

The Conservatives had been battling the government on C-21 since its introduction and when the amendment was brought in the Conservatives took its defence to the next level. Led by MP Raquel Dancho, the opposition saw the government get out manoeuvred resulting in the government getting flipped to defence.  that flipped the government to the defence was addition of the Bloc and NDP that took challenge to the amendments to the next level.  In a move that can only be seen as a “Hail Mary” pass from the government, it was an attempt to score big.  Unfortunately for them, they threw an interception.  The Conservatives and opposition pounced and forced the government to retract. 

The  Conservatives, Bloc and NDP forced the turnover and the defence scored – the Liberals pulled to contentious amendments.  This is no way close to being over, the government will be able to table new changes try to push the any new changes across the goal line.  For the sake of politics the game will not be over until the next election, when a new offence is elected.   The Liberals will assume the offence until then and the opposition parties will once again have to work and score points on defence!! 

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net

#ONVote43: Where have the volunteers gone?

In my previous post on the Ontario election, lower voter turnout was lamented.  In this post I want to express concern over a trend I see of fewer volunteers coming forward.  I have been working on campaigns since 2004.  I’ve worked on federal, provincial and municipal campaigns and the frightening reality to me is that fewer people are coming out to volunteer and help on a campaign.  I hear that Election Canada and Elections Ontario also have the same issue, not having enough people to work on elections – and these two organizations PAY for the work.

Today, as I did last week, I want to look at three Ontario PC Campaigns, Thunder Bay-Atikoken, Toronto-Danforth and Ottawa Centre.  I’ll start in Thunder Bay and work south.

The Thunder Bay-Atikoken Ontario PC candidate was managed by a friend of mine, Derek Parks.  I called Derek on election night after his PC Candidate, Kevin Holland won and defeated the NDP incumbent.  It was the first win for the PC Party in that riding since 1985.  Speaking to Derek he described a falling out of the regular PC volunteers who had rallied behind another candidate for the nomination.  

Sometimes the nomination battles are fiercer and more divisive than the election. Despite winning the nomination, supporters of the failed nomination candidate did not rally behind the blue flag, it was a huge deficit for the Holland campaign to have to overcome.  They did, and Derek explained how he, the Candidate and 7 others carried the campaign to election day and the victory.  He said their campaign showed the power of social media.  I am so proud of how Derek and Kevin won the election; I am going to enjoy reviewing how they used social media to overcome a party volunteer revolt and have Thunder Bay-Atikoken turn blue after almost 40 years.

Heading down to the GTA, our next stop is Toronto-Danforth where former Ottawa Centre candidate Colleen McCleery was carrying the flag.  Colleen moved to Toronto shortly after the 2018 election and early in 2022 sought a riding to run in.  She had her sights in someplace other that Toronto-Danforth (TD), but settled on TD after talking to a few people, including me.  The riding President even pushed to have Colleen and I as a package deal; Colleen the candidate and me her campaign manager, as I had been 4 years earlier.  Knowing how the campaign went, I feel I should have gone to be there with her.  Two things kept me from that, I had committed to working in the Ottawa Centre campaign and as well my work would have frowned on the idea if I asked permission.

In TD, the NDP were the incumbent and won with a majority of the vote in 2018, the push from the PC association to Colleen and I was that the PC Candidate had the best showing the party has had for years.  The thing to remember here is that in 2018 it was a vote was against Kathleen Wynne and the Ontario Liberals.  

Heading into the campaign and assisting Colleen in the months leading up to the start of the election, we both knew were in trouble and that it wasn’t such a great idea to run in Toronto-Danforth.  We saw multiple occasions of the Riding board not stepping up.  An important fundraising event was cancelled because emails didn’t go out and tickets weren’t sold.  The sign co-ordinator never put up a single sign, the social media person posted perhaps five times on twitter and multiple attempts for volunteers to canvass and for board members to donate were met with the sound of crickets.  

Colleen canvassed from February to June, most days on her own and covered 18,000 homes in the riding.  Her team?  The campaign manager that did all he could while committed to working on a campaign for a PC MPP seeking re-election; the CFO and 2-3 other people that would come out when they could.

The riding association board let Colleen down, she was buoyed by a part-time campaign manager and 3 people that put up signs and went door to door with her.  These Riding Association Boards should be ashamed of themselves.  It was never a case of Colleen not doing her part, we knew the volunteers were there, even if it was only a few more – they just never cared to show up or acknowledge the request.

Heading east on the 401 and north on the 416 we get to Ottawa Centre, a riding I have run twice in and managed twice.  In those four elections the 2011 election was a struggle for help, I was unknown, and it was my first campaign as a candidate.  In the ’14 and ’18 elections there was a good number of volunteers so heading into ’22 I thought we would be OK and have the people to have a good campaign for our path to victory.  

Somehow in this election the volunteer base dried up.  All previous volunteers were contacted, some replied but most didn’t.  There was now a smaller pool of volunteers to draw and the Riding Board of Directors was smaller.  To follow our path to victory, we hired 7 youth to canvass evenings.  They would augment the plan we had for Scott and a few other volunteers that went door to door with candidate Scott Healey.  

In Ottawa though it wasn’t just Ottawa Centre, the volunteer base WAS smaller than in 2018.  One of the reasons for the smaller pool of volunteers was the Conservative Leadership race.  Volunteers were drawn to leadership campaigns, especially the one candidate from Ottawa. 

We also noticed the drop of volunteers with the Liberal Candidate, we didn’t see their volunteers out knocking on doors, which in the past has always happened and we never ran into volunteers from the NDP and Green campaigns.  When we door knocked, we didn’t see brochures from the other candidates.  It was bad.  In past years we always could count on 3-5 high school students on the campaign to collect hours of volunteer work, these hours were needed to graduate from High School.  This election, there were none.

The core team for Scott Healey was 7 people, and from there we added 5-6 people who did some lit dropping and of course we had contracted 7 others to work for Scott.

Unlike elections in other years, our campaign and others in Ottawa were asked to send all available volunteers to one of two campaigns that were in tight battles. These two ridings typically have a good volunteer base, it seems that even in tight battle areas, volunteers no longer want to engage and help their candidate, these campaigns had t0 recruit by seconding other campaign volunteers.

As someone that works on campaigns and volunteers on others, it is concerning to me that volunteer engagement is falling.  If you’re concerned about a dropping voter turnout, consider the campaign volunteers who actually help with voter engagement by delivering flyers, driving voters to the polling station, making phone calls and more.  Without volunteers there will be no campaign office.   Consider the impact fewer volunteers has on voter turnout.

Elections are more than just voters taking part, it’s also about campaign teams and the supporters of the candidates that give of their free time. Without volunteers our democracy suffers, the political campaign as we know it now will forever be changed if candidates can’t find volunteers and supporters.  

Where now there are campaigns with no volunteers, it isn’t too far before we can’t find candidates to run.  See you next week with that conversation.

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net

#ONVotes43: Voter Turnout Turmoil

I am in the days after the Ontario Election in Ottawa Centre after working with Scott Healey and a tight knit team.  As the team cleans up signs, pays the bills, and dots the I’s and crosses the t’s on campaign paperwork it is time to look back at the 32 day campaign.  I feel the need to address a few topics that either frustrated or amazed me in this provincial election.  

First thing I need to address is the voter turnout of the 2022 Ontario Election. In doing this I am going to look at three ridings that had different circumstances and outcomes. Interestingly all these three ridings they had an NDP incumbent heading into the 2022 election.  I am focused on these three ridings as I had a personal interest in them.  The ridings are, Ottawa Centre where I was the Campaign Manager, Toronto Danforth where I consulted and Thunder Bay Atikoken as I watched a good friend battle not only the NDP, but local PC supporters.  

The voter turnout in Ottawa Centre was once again a leader in the province as it was shy of hitting 50%, coming in at 49.43%.  While Ottawa Centre voters again showed their dedication to the democratic process, it was immune to lower turinout as the 49.43% was nowhere close to the 2018 result of 61.2%.  The Ontario PC voter turnout mirrored that of the riding with a turnout of under 50% of the voters that told our campaign they would vote for Scott coming out to do so. 

This type of result doesn’t do much to the idea that Ottawa Centre could never be a Tory seat.  I believe it can, and I believed 2022 would the year it would happen.  It didn’t happen for a few reasons, some which were in our control and some that were not.  With enough motivation, Ontario PC voters can make Ottawa Centre an Ontario PC seat. 

Where credit needs to be given in this election goes to the re-elected Joel Harden, his Campaign Manager Samiha Rayeda and their team that increased the NDP vote to 30,022, an increase of 367 from the previous election.  I believe he won with the greatest plurality of any candidate in the election and makes Harden a front runner of unannounced NDP Leadership candidates.  By my calculation Harden won with the 3rd largest vote margin in the province (though the CBC didn’t mention him in this report https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/tightest-races-biggest-wins-ontario-election-2022-1.6478935 ) and perhaps by the greatest number of votes received by any one candidate.

Briefly in two other ridings.  Toronto-Danforth saw former Ottawa Centre PC Candidate and friend Colleen McCLeery hold the PC flag.  Toronto-Danforth saw a drop in voters and the NDP MPP Peter Tabuns saw his support fall more than 10,000 votes from 2018 as voter turnout dropped 11.85%.  Knowing Colleen as I do, and the work she put into the campaign since her nominatin in February ’22, all I can say is that there is only so much one person can do, and Colleen’s situation 3 or 4 can do for an entire election writ period.

Thunder Bay Atikoken provided a change of seat holder in a reduced voter turnout.  A drop of 12% from 2018 to 2022 gave the Ontario PC’s the seat to Kevin Holland and his team lead by Derel Parks.  This result comes from an effective election day plan that had momentum for change and a determined Onatrio PC supporters making their voice and vote count.  Congratulations to Kevin, Derek and their team as they also battled some internal forces but had a different result from Ottawa Centre and Toronto Danforth.

In the general discussion of voter turnout, I saw many posts that displayed dismay over the results.  I replied to the posts and asked if they voted?  One couldn’t because they live on the Quebec side of the Ottawa River, others did and didn’t vote – my message to all were, don’t blame the outcome on our ‘first past the post’ system.  The blame lies with the leaders and candidates that lost (those that complained) and lament low voter turnout.  

Elections are fought on issues, and ideas.  If a leader or party doesn’t present the platform in a manner that attracts voters to it, it is not the voters’ fault.  Just as a burntout out lightbulb won’t draw the interest of a moth, an uninspired election platform and/or candidate won’t bring voters to to their campaign or the ballot box.

There are four years for all the parties and party leaders to redraw their plans and strategies.  Four years to reflect and regoup.  I will do the same for Ottawa Centre, the Ontario PC Party in Ottawa Centre can learn from the Joel Harden campaign, but to do that the local association, as will local association across Ontario if they want a change in outcome can’t wait for 6 to 12 months before June 4, 2026 to prepare, the work starts now.  I have ideas on how that can be done and will share them in a follow up to this post of #RedHeartBlue Sign

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net

Back to Life (Back to Reality)

With a nod to Soul II Soul for the title of this week’s post.  I encourage you to give this a listen and you will have the ear worm of the slow groove for the remainder of the day. 

It is a slow return to a regular routine.  I have decided to take a four-day weekend to get sorted and into an Ottawa groove.  The closest I have come to work is clearing my office inbox, prioritizing email to get my immediate attention when I am back full time back to work.  The second ‘work’ piece I did was take part in the regular Monday call, from this there were a few emails/phone calls to make.  From there it’s day to reclaim personal time. 

Now personal time doesn’t mean feet up and a snooze fest, on the contrary, it’s getting laundry done, unpacking and organizing the tech I took to Barrie.  I should add that at home we’re in a situation that the condo is 80% packed up as we prep for renovations that will start in the new year.  While I say I must clean up tech it also means that some will be packed away for a few months.  I’ll have to decide what is important and likely to be used prior to being moved out of the condo.  I’d like to think I’ll need any of the tech at any time, alas hard choices will need to be made.

Back to life meant a visit to the bookstore and stocking up on some good reads to get me through the rest of the year.  Below is what is waiting to be cracked open.  The last book I finished was in the third week of the campaign.  As the campaign rolled along it became more difficult to get the time to read.  I gave up any hope of reading a second book during the writ period.  The book I started when in Barrie was Nesrine Malik’s “We need new stories” and now I am looking forward to really getting my nose into this book.

the return of the book pile

I have some catching up to do in several other circles, including friends and co-workers that were also spread out across the country working on campaigns.  Since Erin O’Toole started a campaign review, I am looking forward to speaking to local campaigns and seeing if we had shared local experiences.  There is a provincial election coming in 9 months, I’ll be knee deep in Ottawa area campaigns and the local race in Ottawa Centre with the Ontario PC candidate Scott Healey.  

I will be finishing my term as Past-President of Daybreak Housing, there are other things happening that will be public soon enough.  Finally, I look to share thoughts on books, music, and life in general as Red Heart Blue Sign marks 10 years in the blogosphere next month. 

All this will be balanced with enjoying life at home with Liz and family, and hopefully another visit to Vancouver to see sweet Freya.

All this to say life doesn’t really slowdown, reality never goes away it just shifts gears and locations.  

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net

My Election Journal Day +2: Watching corn grow

Wednesday September 22, 2021, my time in Barrie-Innisfil is coming to an end this week and then it is back to Ottawa.  Since I arrived on August 16th, I’ve watched the corn grown, I’ve seen the start of new housing developments take shape and come to realize that this riding is living in the past and is welcoming the future.  I say this in a good way; both are co-existing, I’m not sure how many years that will continue as in the south of the riding, the Town of Innisfil becomes the home to the Orbit a new and exciting community.  Interested in reading more?  Click here: https://innisfil.ca/orbit/.

Also, in the last six weeks I have been engulfed in a local election, focusing my energies on not being distracted by the noise of the national campaign.  We had an election because the government felt we needed it.  Many disagreed, the result would indicate that it wasn’t as there was not much movement in the seats held by each party in the House of Commons.  Lisa Raitt on election night called it a $600 million Cabinet Shuffle. 

I was blessed to have an energetic team of volunteers, in this my second campaign for John Brassard.  We never lacked for volunteers, support, and encouragement for 36 days.  We pressed ahead with our own goals for the election, they were more votes for John and to crack the 50% +1 ceiling.  We have achieved our first goal with more votes cast for the Conservative Party of Canada than in 2015 and 2019.  We’re close to our second goal; after 174 of 175 polls counted, we are at 47.7% of the vote for the CPC.  We have one last chance to hit 50%.  

Today at the Elections Canada off 1700 mail in ballots and local special ballots are being count.  All told I think there are almost 8,000 votes to count, it may be finished tonight, or it may require one more day.  The important of this count is these are special ballots, voters had to write in the name of their candidate.  We have five representatives observing the count.

On the election itself, I am glad it’s over.  The country is divided, every leader and every party need to put the swords down and go back to a civil debate and the end of innuendos and half-truths.  What was sorely missed was a debate on the real issues of the nation.  Instead, Vaccinations, vaccine passports or certificates were politicized and the focus of the media, the Liberals jumped on and rode that train. 

In Ottawa Centre (my home riding), the Liberal candidate sent around literature implying a conservative government would ban abortions.  He knows this is not true and he knows a government could not legislate this issue because it was settled in the courts. The Supreme Court of Canada ruled against banning the.  As a lawyer he should also have known this would and could never happen.  I know him and ran against him in two provincial elections.  He knows better, I am disappointed he took that route to win – which he did.

After 36 days, can we say the election solved any of the issues we face?  I don’t think so which tells me we didn’t need the election.  But it happened and the silver lining here is the government, and all parties and Members of Parliament can push the reset button.

How would you describe the outcome of this election in ten words or less?

As the office is emptied, and signs are stored away I want to thank Team Brassard and the Brassard family for making me one of them again – the first time was good, but this time was so much better.  Thank you!

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net

My Election Journal: Day 24

It’s Friday August 27th in the evening and there 23 days left in the election.  I find myself at Pearson waiting for a midnight flight to Ottawa.  I’m back in the Nation’s capital for the Ontario PC Nomination vote in the riding Lanark-Kingston-Frontenac.  The winner of this nomination will carry the blue flag in a riding that is held by former PC and now Independent MPP Randy Hillier.  It’s not known if Hiller will run as an Independent in the June 2022 Ontario election.

Waiting for a midnight flight at Pearson International Airport

I’ll be landing in Ottawa at 1am and must be up in time to be in Perth for 830am.  It’s been two weeks of #elxn44 and here is a round up how the week went.

The surprise of the week was a good old Canadian Double Double.  Derek Sloan left his Ontario riding to plant his “Sloan” flag in Alberta to run against CPC MP Blake Richards in Banff-Airdrie.   Richards was the Opposition Whip in the Conservative caucus and would have been key in the ousting of Sloan from the CPC Caucus.  It seems Sloan is going after some pay back.  Now Derek running in Alberta doesn’t mean a Sloan won’t be on the ballot in his home riding of Hastings-Lennox and Addington.  It was announced today that his wife, Jennifer will be running under the “Sloan” banner in the same riding her husband won in 2019.

I think I can safely say that O’Toole and the Conservatives had another good week, I only know this because of what I didn’t hear.  I didn’t hear mad voices on the phone, and I wasn’t interrupted by friends messaging me on Facebook with a big, huge W-T-F!  Being as busy as I am, I am practically in a Barrie-Innisfil bubble with only a small amount of time at the end of the day talking with John and his wife about who said this and who did that.  I kind a like being in that bubble, this ignorance is bliss keeps me from anxious moments that might make me lose sleep or cause me shut everything out.

This week John was the first of the Barrie-Innisfil candidates to be confirmed as a candidate by Elections Canada.  We had the signatures, and the paperwork was all submitted correctly.  It took 36 hours for Elections Canada to their work, but it’s 36 hours of waiting I don’t like.  We were expecting to have a 5-candidate ballot in the riding, but the Green Party candidate withdrew from the election.  Colin Nelthrope, who is also the President of Fierte Simcoe Pride, made the decision that running a mediocre campaign to have a great Pride celebration wasn’t something he could do.  Nominations must be into Elections Canada by Monday August 30th, so it’s uncertain that a new candidate will be found that can fulfill the needs requirements of nomination papers before then.  I wish Colin well and look forward to fabulous Fierte Simcoe Pride this year.  The full article on his withdrawal is here from Barrie Today, https://www.barrietoday.com/canadavotes2021/green-party-candidate-in-barrie-innisfil-pulls-out-of-the-race-4252941.

Finally, I voted.  I voted for Carol Clemenhagen in #OttawaCentre in Barrie.  It was easy and there were no line-ups.  If you want to vote now, I suggest you, do it, especially if you are wary of crowd during the advance poll weekend of September 9th to 13th or likely longer lines on September 20th.  If you do vote by special ballot, you’ll be writing in the name of the candidate you’re supporting.  Make sure you know how to spell their name as a simple error in spelling could cause your vote to be spoiled.  Visit http://www.elections.ca for hours of voting while you can vote via special ballot.

My question to you is simple, how, and when are you voting?   Are you voting via a special ballot, mail in ballot, during advance poll days or election day? 

I am off to board my plane to YOW, and I’ll be back in Barrie Monday morning in time to open the campaign office.  Have a great weekend!

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net

My Election Journal: Day 35

And it begins.

It’s Monday August 16th, my election journey starts at the VIA Ottawa Business Lounge awaiting to board the train to Toronto.  Why the train?  It’s comfortable, I can sleep longer than a flight would take, and I can get a lot of work done in the 5 hours into Union Station.  I could fly, but there’s no real rush (except for me to arrive at my destination later today) and I’ve packed 5 weeks so the luggage would probably be overweight.

The election has been called, the debate if we need an election is to be had by others, I have a job to do, and it doesn’t involve getting into the ring for that fight – but I can certainly argue reasons why the government should focus on other things and not an election.

Just like my previous election journal in 2019, we’ll count down the days to election day, September 20, 2021, together and I’ll share my experiences.  There will be differences from the 2019 campaign compared to this election.  The big difference is COVID, we’ve adjusted how the campaign will be run to accommodate the safety of campaign volunteers, campaign staff and supporters and anyone else we meet.

Today I am looking forward to seeing friends I met in the 2019 campaign.  The amazing volunteers, the supporters, and the other candidates.  White the candidates all have different positions on the issues, they are all putting their name on the ballot because they care about their community and Canada.  No one can fault anyone for doing this.

As I was 2 years ago, I am managing the campaign for Conservative candidate, and incumbent, John Brassard for the riding of Barrie-Innisfil.  We’ve been planning this campaign since April and made several key decisions, including making this campaign more mobile than two years ago.  Knowing that the pandemic will have an impact in our way of operating for at least another year we needed to make decisions that would affect how a traditional campaign would have to change. 

First, there will be no campaign office, we hope to be on wheels, going from community to community.  We will meet with voters and supporters in their neighbourhoods, coffee shop patios.  It has been a challenge to book a RV or other similar vehicle, it seems that almost every rentable vehicle has been booked by other Ontarians as they take a provincial staycation and visit other parts of the province and county by wheels and not planes.

After arriving, I visited our campaign co-working space, went to our sign depot in the south end of the riding and has started to connect with volunteers.  The “to do” list grows with every idea I get, and that is happening almost every minute.  If this campaign is like the last, for every item I clear, two get added, BUT it’s all good! This is a happy but good stressful place for me to be.

On a personal note, I am closer to my parents, brothers, and sister – so when I have free time, and I can schedule that, I’ll be visiting them.  COVID has kept us apart for too long.

Now that the election is in full swing and two complete days are in the books, how are you feeling about it?  What are your feelings about this election?  What are the issues you want to hear about?  How do you vote?  Party? Party Leader? Local Candidate?

Thank you for reading this post; to catch all my posts and be notified as new ones come up, please follow me on WordPress.  I can be found on Twitter @robertdekker & @RedHrtBlueSign and on Facebook athttps://www.facebook.com/rob.dekker.54.  If you prefer email, please contact me at rdmedia@bell.net